NEW YORK (AP) — The vast destruction wreaked by the storm surge in New York
could have been prevented with a sea barrier of the type that protects
major cities in Europe, some scientists and engineers say. The
multibillion-dollar price tag of such a project has been a hindrance,
but may appear more palatable after the damage from Superstorm Sandy has been tallied.
"The time has come. The city is
finally going to have to face this," said oceanography professor Malcolm
J. Bowman at Long Island's Stony Brook University. He has warned for
years of the potential for a catastrophic storm surge in New York and
has advocated for a barrier.
Invented by Bowman and his
colleague Douglas Hill, two European engineering firms have drawn up
proposals for walling most of New York off from the sea, at a price just
above $6 billion.
Before the storm, Mayor Michael
Bloomberg's administration had said it was working to analyze natural
risks and the effectiveness of various coast-protection techniques,
including storm-surge barriers. But officials had noted that barriers
were only one of many ideas, and they have often emphasized more modest,
immediate steps the city has taken, such as installing floodgates at
sewage plants and raising the ground level while redeveloping a
low-lying area in Queens.
"It's a series of small
interventions that cumulatively, over time, will take us to a more
natural system" to deal with climate change and rising sea levels,
Carter H. Strickland, the city's environmental commissioner, told The
New York Times this summer.
Engineers know this approach as
"resilience" — essentially, toughening the city piece by piece to make
it soak up a surge without major damage. But the European engineering
firms whose barriers protect the Netherlands and the Russian metropolis
of St. Petersburg see this as unrealistic, given the vast amount of
expensive infrastructure that underpins New York.
"How does New York as a city
retreat into resilient mode? It's just difficult to see how that would
happen," said Graeme Forsyth, an engineer for CH2M Hill in Glasgow,
Scotland.
Sandy sent a record 14-foot storm
surge into New York Harbor, flooding subway tunnels and airports. It
forced the closure of the stock market for two days, the first time
that's happened for weather-related reasons since 1888. There's no
estimate yet for the cost of the devastation in New York City, but
forecasting firm IHS Global Insight put the cost of the damage along the
coast at $20 billion, plus $10 billion to $30 billion in lost business.
Forsyth has worked on St.
Petersburg's barrier, which consists of 16 miles of levees and gates
shielding the city, built on what was once a swamp, from the Baltic Sea
and the river Neva. The centerpiece of his firm's early-stage proposal
for New York is a levee-like barrier that would stretch five miles from
the Rockaway peninsula in Queens on Long Island to the Sandy Hook
promontory in New Jersey. The barrier would stop a surge of 30 feet,
twice the height from Sandy. Gaps would allow ships, river water and
tides through, but movable gates could close off all of New York Bay
from the Atlantic when necessary. The barrier would protect most of the
city, with the exception of Rockaway itself. It would also shield parts
of New Jersey.
To be sure, some scientists have reservations about the storm-surge barrier concept.
Some are concerned about how the
structures could affect tidal flow and other environmental features of
New York Harbor — and about whether barriers would be socially fair.
"Who gets included to be behind
the gate, and who doesn't get included? ... How do you make that
decision in a fair way?" Robert Swanson, an oceanographer who is
Bowman's colleague at Stony Brook, said in an August interview.
Other experts question whether
barriers would even work in the long term. Klaus H. Jacob, a Columbia
University climate-risk researcher who has advised New York City
officials, has noted that given the unknowns of climate change, any
system designed now could prove inadequate in the future.
But advocates believe New York needs to take bigger steps given its concentration of people and financial infrastructure.
"With the kind of protection that
has been considered so far, you cannot protect a
multimillion-inhabitant city that runs part of the world economy," said
Piet Dircke, who has worked on the extensive system of sea barriers in
the Netherlands with the Dutch engineering firm Arcadis.
His firm's proposal is to build a
barrier in the Verrazano Narrows between Brooklyn and Staten Island,
shielding Upper New York Bay. It would be supplemented by two smaller
barriers, one between Staten Island and New Jersey and the other on the
East River. Such a barrier would have protected Manhattan and much of
Brooklyn and Staten Island from Sandy, but left southern Brooklyn and
Kennedy Airport exposed.
Robert Trentlyon, a New York
community activist who has been advocating for storm-surge barriers,
sees the one-two punch of Hurricane Irene in 2011 — which came within a
foot of flooding subway stations in southern Manhattan — and Sandy as a
sign that the time has come.
"Having had two storm surges
within one year, and their both being major ones, I just find it very
difficult to think the city could not go ahead and act," the retired
local newspaper publisher said by phone Sunday from his Manhattan
apartment, which was left without power. His Chelsea neighborhood,
though not his building, was among those that flooded.
In August, U.S. Rep. Jerry Nadler
urged city officials to take a comprehensive look at storm-surge
barriers, bulkheads and other flood-fighting devices.
After the storm, reactions from the government have been mixed, as
the region battles to recover from the storm rather than looking at how
to prevent the next disaster.
"We cannot build a big barrier
reef off the shore to stop the waves from coming in," Bloomberg said
Monday. But Gov. Andrew Cuomo opened the door to new ideas Tuesday,
saying that the government has a responsibility to think about new
designs and techniques to protect the city in the face of what look like
increasingly frequent megastorms.
One doesn't have to go to Europe
or New Orleans to find examples of massive sea barriers: The city of
Providence, R.I., has been protected by a 3,000-foot gated barrier since
1966. Construction was prompted by two devastating hurricanes in 1938
and 1954. The barrier has prevented flooding of the low-lying parts of
the city several times since then, including during Sandy.
"This is not far-out science or engineering," Bowman said. "This is easy to do.""Easy" doesn't mean it would be something that could be put in place quickly. Even after politicians line up behind the project, funding, permitting and environmental studies are likely to take years.
"It could take 20 years before people even start pouring concrete," Bowman said. LINK